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SA REITS GAIN 4.2% IN JUNE AS DISTRIBUTION GROWTH ACCELERATES TO 10.58% OUTPACING A FALLING EQUITY MARKET

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Sector moves back ahead of both equities and bonds for the year to date, with rolling distribution growth reaching a fifth consecutive quarter of inflation-beating gains even as the interest-rate cycle stays firm

South African real estate investment trusts (REITs) delivered a total return of 4.2% in June 2026, moving ahead of both equities and bonds in a month when the broader equity market fell. The All-Share Index returned -3.7% and the All-Bond Index returned 1.5%, leaving SA REITs comfortably in front for the month and completing a full recovery from a correction in March. The sector is now positive by 6.3% year to date, ahead of both the All-Share Index at -3.0% and the All-Bond Index at 4.2%, having moved back in front of bonds for the first time this year.

According to the latest SA REIT Association Chart Book June 2026, compiled by Ian Anderson, Head of Listed Property and Portfolio Manager at Merchant West Investments, a durable development lay beneath the headline return, with rolling 12-month distribution growth accelerating to 10.58% at the end of June from 9.40% a month earlier. This marks a fifth consecutive quarter of inflation-beating dividend growth and points to an income recovery that has moved from repair to real-terms expansion.

“June brought together two signals that have defined the first half, choppy and rate-sensitive share prices on the one hand and steadily accelerating, inflation-beating distribution growth on the other,” says Anderson. “The second of these is the more durable. With distribution growth now running comfortably ahead of consumer inflation, the sector’s income recovery has moved from simply repairing itself to delivering genuine real growth, which is arguably the most important development of the past six months.”

A month of clear outperformance

SA REITs stood apart from the broader market in June, delivering a positive return while equities pulled back. The 4.2% gain lifted the sector clear of both equities and bonds for the month and completed the recovery from the 12.3% correction recorded in March.

Beneath the headline the range of outcomes remained wide and was driven largely by company-specific news. The single largest move of the month came from Delta Property Fund, up 48.5%, although this came off a distressed and illiquid low base and is best read as a technical bounce rather than a change in fundamentals. Among the more meaningful gainers, Heriot (13.0%), Fairvest A (11.6%) and Fairvest B (8.8%) led, followed by Vukile (7.0%), Redefine (6.7%), Octodec (6.6%) and Hyprop (5.5%). On a year-to-date basis the leaderboard is headed by Oasis Crescent (36.4%), Octodec (23.2%), Hyprop (20.2%) and Spear (16.0%). Notably, several of the sector’s strongest operational performers, among them Vukile and Stor-Age, still lag on a year-to-date price basis, a reminder of how far share prices and underlying fundamentals have diverged this year.

Income growth moves from repair to real expansion

The clearer signal for the sector came from its distributions. Rolling 12-month distribution growth accelerated to 10.58% at the end of June, up from 9.40% a month earlier, a fifth consecutive quarter of growth ahead of inflation and a marked acceleration through the second quarter of 2026. On the evidence of June’s results and pre-close updates, that pace looks set to be sustained.

“Distribution growth has now beaten inflation for five quarters in a row and accelerated through the second quarter,” Anderson notes. “That is the clearest evidence yet that the recovery in the sector’s earnings is real and broadening. Share prices will stay sensitive to bond yields and risk appetite, but the underlying income trend is moving firmly in the right direction.”

A heavy flow of results, with growth broadening

June brought a heavy flow of full-year results together with pre-close and trading updates ahead of a common 30 June year-end. The consistent thread was distribution growth at or above the sector’s rolling pace, supported by resilient South African operations, lower funding costs and continued capital deployment both at home and offshore.

At the upper end of the growth range, Attacq reaffirmed full-year distribution growth guidance of 11% to 14%, with group occupancy rising to 95.1% and its cost of debt easing to 8.7% on an affirmed A+(ZA) credit rating. Hyprop remained on track for growth of 10% to 12%, reporting strong South African reversions of 9.8% on renewals and 32.8% on new deals, zero vacancy across its Eastern European centres and the pending acquisition of Galleria Burgas in Bulgaria. Fairvest lifted its B-share interim distribution by 12.3% and upgraded full-year guidance to between 11% and 13%, supported by its retail repositioning and its Onepath township-fibre investment. Vukile delivered audited full-year funds from operations (FFO) and dividend growth of 9.3%, ahead of guidance, with its Iberian portfolio now around two-thirds of group FFO, its entry into Italy confirmed and full-year 2027 guidance of between 8% and 10% FFO growth and between 10% and 12% dividend growth.

In the middle of the range, Spear reported a first-quarter distribution for its 2027 financial year up 6.1%, within a reaffirmed range of 6% to 8%, led by its Western Cape logistics platform and a 17.3% office reversion that runs counter to the office weakness seen elsewhere. SA Corporate guided to interim growth of 6% to 7%, with its AFHCO residential platform the standout performer and its Zambian assets providing a hard-currency earner. Growthpoint, the diversified large-cap, held guidance at 3% to 5% distributable income growth and 6% to 8% dividend growth while recycling capital actively, with disposals for its 2026 financial year now projected at R5.1 billion, issuing an oversubscribed R1.8 billion bond at record-low margins and securing the highest national-scale credit rating from both agencies. Estienne de Klerk succeeds Norbert Sasse as Group Chief Executive Officer today, 1 July 2026. Stor-Age posted audited full-year distribution growth of 5.1%, with a strong South African business and a materially de-risked balance sheet offsetting the drag from a softer United Kingdom portfolio.

At the lower end of the range, Burstone grew distributable income by 2.2%, the slowest in the peer group, as it moves through its transition into a capital-light international fund and asset manager, with roughly two-thirds of gross assets now offshore. Fortress featured twice during the month. Its trading update on 10 June reaffirmed full-year distribution growth of approximately 8.6%, to at least 176.48 cents, introduced guidance of about 7.4% for its 2027 financial year and reported an improvement in Central and Eastern European (CEE) logistics vacancy from 9.0% to 1.8%. Then, on 30 June, Fortress priced an accelerated bookbuild, placing 55.67 million B ordinary shares, about 4.5% of its B shares in issue, at R24.25, a 1.0% discount to the 30-day volume-weighted average price (VWAP) and raising approximately R1.35 billion. Rand Merchant Bank and Morgan Stanley acted as joint global coordinators, with listing of the new shares expected on or about 3 July. The proceeds are earmarked for the South African and CEE logistics development pipeline and selected retail opportunities. The strength of institutional demand points to both the depth of appetite for the sector and management’s confidence in its pipeline.

Joanne Solomon, Chief Executive Officer of the SA REIT Association, says the month captured a sector delivering on two fronts at once. “What stands out about June is the combination of accelerating real distribution growth and confident capital deployment. Funds are reporting stronger earnings, raising equity and debt at attractive terms and deploying capital into logistics, convenience retail and selected offshore markets. This is the behaviour of a sector with healthy balance sheets and genuine access to capital. It reflects the confidence that has built up around real estate investment trusts over the past 18 months.”

Structural themes across the sector

Several structural themes ran through the month’s disclosures. Funding referenced to the South African Rand Overnight Index Average (ZARONIA) has become mainstream, with Fortress, Growthpoint, Hyprop and SA Corporate all now pricing off the new reference rate, while hedging strategies have begun to diverge, with some funds trimming their interest-rate cover to retain exposure to any future easing and others holding cover high. Offshore expansion continued across several geographies, spanning Vukile in Italy, Hyprop in Bulgaria, Fortress in Central and Eastern Europe, Burstone through its fund-management platform and SA Corporate in Zambia, even as Stor-Age rotated capital back home into South Africa. Operationally, logistics remained the consistent outperformer and convenience and essential-goods retail proved resilient, while office remained the sector’s laggard outside the supply-constrained Western Cape market.

The interest-rate backdrop

The interest-rate environment remained the dominant macro variable through the month, with the market continuing to digest the late-May decision by the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.0%, its first increase since 2023. Geopolitical developments and energy prices remained the key swing factor for the inflation and interest-rate outlook, keeping real estate investment trusts sensitive to the path of bond yields. The move confirmed that the easing cycle which supported much of the 2024 and 2025 re-rating has, for now, paused.

Solomon adds: “The rate environment is clearly less supportive than it was a year ago, although the structural case for real estate investment trusts remains intact. Distribution growth now in double digits, healthier balance sheets and a broadening investable universe are all features of a sector in a far stronger position than it was two years ago. A more demanding rate environment raises the premium on quality and execution, but it does not undo the progress the sector has made.”

As a reminder, the SA REIT Association released the Third Edition of its Best Practice Recommendations (BPR) in May, the framework that governs how members measure and report financial and operational performance, effective for reporting periods commencing on or after 1 January 2026. June’s flow of results represents the first wave of reporting being prepared under the updated framework as members move to adopt it.

Outlook

Looking ahead to the remainder of 2026 and into 2027, Anderson expects income growth to remain the sector’s anchor while returns become more selective.

“A clear majority of the sector is guiding to high-single or low-double-digit distribution growth into the 2027 financial year, supported by well-capitalised balance sheets, lower funding costs locked in through the 2025 easing cycle and disciplined capital deployment,” he says. “The principal swing factor remains the interest-rate path, which has removed the unambiguous tailwind of the past two years, although an easing of geopolitical tensions could quickly restore a more supportive backdrop. With income growth robust but much of the sector’s re-rating still to be proven through delivery, the next phase of returns is likely to remain execution-driven and increasingly selective. Funds combining defensive retail, logistics and self-storage exposure with disciplined leverage and the ability to deploy capital progressively should remain best placed to convert this elevated distribution growth into sustainable real returns into 2027.”

Highlights from the SA REIT Chart Book June 2026

  • SA REITs’ total return (June): 4.2%
  • All Share Index (June): -3.7%
  • All Bond Index (June): 1.5%
  • Year-to-date return: 6.3%
  • Distribution growth (rolling 12 months): 10.58%, up from 9.40%
  • Top monthly performers: Heriot (13.0%), Fairvest A (11.6%), Fairvest B (8.8%), Vukile (7.0%) and Redefine (6.7%)
  • Results: A heavy flow of full-year results and pre-close updates, with distribution growth at or above the sector’s rolling pace the common theme
  • Capital raising: Fortress raised approximately R1.35 billion through an accelerated bookbuild at a 1.0% discount to the 30-day VWAP
  • Interest rates: The South African Reserve Bank increased the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.0% in late May, its first rise since 2023

The SA REIT Association Chart Books are available for download here.

CONTEXT

The SA REIT Association’s monthly Chart Book is compiled and analysed by Ian Anderson, Head of Listed Property and Portfolio Manager at Merchant West Investments, who provides ongoing insights into the performance and trends shaping South Africa’s REIT sector.

The SA REIT Association Chart Books are available for download here.

The new SA REIT Association Best Practice Recommendations (BPR) Third Edition (2026), is available for download here.

About the SA REIT Association

The SA REIT Association promotes SA REITs as an investment class both locally and internationally and represents the South African real estate investment trust industry in meeting challenges within the sector. For more information, visit sareit.co.za.

SUPPLIED.

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